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Archive for April, 2010

What the Greek crisis means for gold

My latest for Moneyweek:

Stock markets collapsed yesterday in dramatic fashion as credit rating agency Standard & Poor’s (S&P) lowered Greece’s credit rating from BB+ to BBB+. In other words, Greek debt is now officially junk (according to S&P at least, and the other agencies may not be far behind).

S&P warned that if Greece restructures her debt, bondholders could recover as little as 30% of their initial investment.

No wonder investors panicked. Yields on ten-year Portuguese bonds jumped 48 basis points (that’s 0.48 percentage points), while Irish yields surged despite the widespread praise the country’s enjoyed for its cutbacks. Both the euro and the pound fell against the dollar. Stock markets went into freefall, with the S&P 500 falling by almost 3%. Even my uber-bullish broker was buying puts.

The only thing to rise was the US dollar.

Oh, yes. And gold…

Read on …

Markets Turn Down On Cue; Now Larry Reflects

We have a new radio show …

After calling for a major turn in the markets this weekend, the SP500 is suddenly down 3% today. Larry relects on that call and suggests where we are headed from here.


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View Larry’s charts …

April 25th: A Pesavento Turn Date.

Larry Pesavento , pattern recognition expert , who uses astrological patterns to great effect when trading, is on Frisby’s Bulls And Bears.

He sees this weekend – April 25th, 2010 – as a major turn date in the stock markets – as big as the March lows of 2009, which he predicted to the day.

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View Larry’s Charts

Five lessons I learned from the volcano

Latest for Moneyweek:

I was gazing by night at an erupting volcano in Central America last week when the news broke about Iceland’s volcano. My first thought was that this was Iceland’s payback. Ash for cash. Some bizarre spelling trick to inflate away their debt.

But I was feeling less inclined towards stupid jokes by the time I made my way home. We got caught in the fall-out.

I tried to observe events with my investor’s hat on. Of course, there were no long-term investment possibilities to investigate here. This was a chance for the opportunists – and the car hire companies. But I did take a few lessons from the situation that might be worth remembering next time you’re in a tight spot, be it travel or investment-related…

Read on …

Gold Price Manipulation And Getting Home

We have a new radio show. Michael Hampton aka Dr Bubb is back giving his views of gold price manipulation allegations. Then, in the second half of the programme, Dominic recounts his experiences trying to get home from Spain during the standstill brought about by the flight ban imposed after Iceland’s volcano eruption.

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Link to show

Two junior mining stocks for adventurous investors

My latest for Moneyweek:

Back in October last year, as gold was beginning to take off, I was looking for laggards. I tipped four junior mining companies that had fallen behind the market, but had the potential to fly.

A number of you have asked for an update, so I’m going to take a look at two of them in today’s Money Morning.

But I warn you: neither of these stocks is for the faint-hearted. Both stories show just how much risk – and reward – there can be in junior mining…

Read on …

Bond Market On The Brink?

My latest for Moneyweek:

One of the most important markets in the world, the US 30-year Treasury Bond, is set to fall dramatically.

That’s because America is essentially broke. It has been taking on debt it can barely afford to service, let alone pay back.

The implications of a reversal in the bond market will have major repercussions worldwide. And now a notorious chart pattern has formed suggesting a drop is not far away.

Read on …

John Rubino Returns to Frisby’s Bulls And Bears

We have a new FB&B with John Rubino of Dollar Collapse and Green Stock Investing. We discuss the implications of a falling US Long Bond, the recent gold price manipulation and the performance of Green Tech in 2009-10.

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Link to MP3

Ferdie’s First Voiceover

Last week Ferdinand Innis Frisby Williams did his first ever voiceover, aged just 3.

It was a lipsync job, which , technically, are the hardest to do. Here is the result. He is playing the (considerably older) girl:

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